The latest interim forecast of the European Commission, presented on 23 February, points to a stagnation of the EU economy and to a mild recession in the euro area. However, modest growth is predicted to return in the second half of the year.
Growth revised downwards
Against the backdrop of a waning growth momentum and continued low confidence, real GDP is expected to stagnate in the EU and to shrink by 0.3% in the euro area in 2012. This constitutes a downward revision of 0.6 percentage points in the EU and 0.8 percentage points in the euro area compared to the autumn forecast of 10 November 2011. Contrary to earlier interim forecasts that built on the analysis of the seven largest EU economies, projections for the current forecast are based on estimates for all EU Member States.
Divergences between Member States remain pronounced.
At the level of the individual Member States, growth divergences remain pronounced. In 2012, GDP growth is forecast to be positive in seventeen countries (Bulgaria, Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Austria, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Finland, Sweden and the United Kingdom) stagnant in one (Czech Republic) and negative in nine countries (Belgium, Greece, Spain, Italy, Cyprus, Hungary, the Netherlands, Portugal and Slovenia). Growth will be highest in Poland (2.5%), Lithuania (2.3%) and Latvia (2.1%) and lowest in Greece (-4.4%) and in Portugal (-3.3%).
Inflation easing only gradually
On the back of persistently high energy prices, inflation has remained higher than forecast in autumn and is expected to decelerate slowly over the forecast horizon. For 2012 as a whole, the HICP inflation rate is now projected at 2.3% in the EU and 2.1% in the euro area. In 2011, it is estimated to have amounted to 3.1% in the EU and 2.7% in the euro area.
Domestic and global demand prospects
The economic outlook is conditioned by a less supportive global economy, with the ongoing weakening of global demand weighing on net European exports. EU business and consumer confidence are still at low levels, although a recent slight improvement has been noted as the financial sector has shown signs of stabilisation. Also, in the light of subdued demand, credit conditions are not expected to constrain investment and consumption over the forecast horizon. Overall, a gradual return of confidence and a recovery of investment and consumption are expected in the second half of 2012.
Risk assessment
Despite some favourable developments in recent weeks that made the risks to growth more balanced, the downside risks remain substantial. If an aggravation of the sovereign-debt crisis were to result ultimately in a credit crunch and ensuing lower domestic demand, this would probably entail a deeper and prolonged recession. Upside risks to GDP include a stronger-than-expected rebound of confidence and more resilient global demand, stemming from e.g. a stabilisation of housing markets in the US.
Context
The European Commission usually publishes economic forecasts four times a year – comprehensive spring and autumn forecasts in May and November as well as smaller interim forecasts in February and September. As mentioned above, contrary to previous interim forecasts that built on the largest Member States, projections for the current publication are based on estimates for all EU and euro area Member States respectively. The next spring forecast will be published on 11 May 2012.

The EU and its Member States have taken a series of important decisions that will strengthen economic and budgetary coordination for the EU as a whole and for the euro area in particular. As a result, the EU's interdependent economies will be better placed to chart a path to growth and job creation.
Green MT , the National Authorised Waste Packaging Scheme is responsible for the emptying and maintenance of 275 Bring In Sites in Malta. (Dome shaped ex Wasteserv). The Maltese islands are facing gale force winds later today Friday 8th March, and should last up to eighteen hours. With this in mind Green MT assessed those sites that are prone to such winds and instructed one of its contractors to chain together 12 bring In Sites in Marsascala, Mgarr Malta, Sleima and St Julians. The works are being supervised by waste managment supervisors at the Ministry of Resources and Rural Affairs.
GRTU has once again requested an extension to the Malta Environment and Planning Authority in respect to a consultation document issued late last year in relation to Environmental Permitting and General Binding Rules which will formally effect all major sectors of GRTU.
Green MT, l-Iskema Nazzjonali Awtorizzata' ghall-Gbir ta' Skart tal-ippakeggjar flimkien mal-Kunsill Lokali tas-Siggiewi ser iniedu inizjattiva' biex jingabar izjed hgieg mir-residenzi gewwa is-Siggiewi. Din il-gimgha l-iskema Green MT ghaddiet 2,000 kontenitur tal-plastik biex jinghataw lill-residenti fis-Siggiewi li huma interessati li jippartecipaw f'din l-inizjattiva'.
